According to the geniuses at WhoWins historically, teams leading the World Series 3-1 and playing Game 5 at home have won Game Five just 45% of the time, have won the Series 18 of 20 times (90%).
Betting line has Tigers favored 114/100 tonight - Verlander vs. Weaver. Game Six will have Rogers - minus the smudge? - at home. I'm really hoping LaRussa uses Reyes and the bullpen in Games 6 (if there is one) and holds off on using Carpenter until Game 7 on full rest.
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